Voter Turnout Indicates Ohio Did Not Have A 'Blue Wave' On Tuesday

Clay Curtis
May 11, 2018

The Ohio Secretary of State's Office is reporting statewide turnout for the gubernatorial primary election was at 20.9 percent. Some 80 percent of registered Republican voters in California approve of the president, according to recent polling, a fact that was clear in San Diego this weekend as the state GOP convened for its spring convention.

In West Virginia, Indiana and Ohio, Republicans chose nominees who will challenge Democratic Senate incumbents later this year.

There are 47,277 registered voters in the county and 9,570 cast ballots for Tuesday's election.

And one more caveat: While some of these races look tough to win now, race ratings (those "toss-up" or "leaning-Republican" labels) change often, so it's possible that for some of these candidates, the outlook could be sunnier - or even bleaker - come Election Day. He and former University of Cincinnati board chairman Rob Richardson Jr., a Democrat, will face off in November for the seat held by term-limited GOP Treasurer Josh Mandel.

"If it makes sense for West Virginia, makes sense to me, I vote for it, doesn't matter whether it's Democrat or Republican", the former governor told supporters as he faces the most hard re-election campaign of his 30-year career. The total ballots cast include 544 absentee. The same poll found that 67 percent of all state voters disapprove of the president's job performance. Republicans say that's evidence there's not a blue wave in Ohio.

That makes it hard to compare party turnout election to election, said Paul Beck, a political science professor emeritus at Ohio State University.

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Though the Democratic incumbents are trying to explain their votes as fiscally responsible and necessary to protect Social Security and Medicare, a steady stream of messages pounding at the tax cut opposition and other party-line votes can chip away at a personal brand over time, strategists and pollsters in both parties said. The deadline to register to vote in that election is May 21.

Tuesday's numbers can't be compared directly to 2016's, said Mike Dawson, a Republican strategist and expert on OH elections statistics.

Ward said there are more than a dozen Democrats who have made verbal commitments to run but who have not yet filed, and he is continuing to try to recruit more candidates ahead of the June 1 filing deadline. "Once the nomination was settled, much of this grassroots energy dissipated as the Clinton campaign declined to adopt positions like single-payer health care and free public college that resonated with young voters". "Having an unpopular Republican in the White House is a good way to get that turnout boost, but if that's coming, there wasn't a preview of that on Tuesday".

But McCarthy says Republicans may have a lot of work to do to reach those more moderate swing voters who are turned off by the Trump factor.

In the four-man March 6 Republican Primary race, Reese garnered 450 votes to 249 for Wooldridge, 177 for Russell Cady and 96 for Thomas Salazar III.

Independent voters, who register as 'no party preference, ' grew by about 1 million since April 2014 to roughly 4.73 million registered voters. In the 5th Congressional District, for example, the party chose their candidate through a caucus and convention, and Tim Kaine is running unopposed for U.S. Senate. "It may have just been Republicans had more reason to show up".

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