Four 'Major' Hurricanes Predicted to Hit United States in 2018

Clay Curtis
May 25, 2018

- The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration just released it's 2018 outlook for hurricane season, which begins June 1.

While unlikely, it should be noted that there is a 20% chance for a below normal hurricane season in the eastern Pacific.

CBS Miami reports these numbers are based on probabilities of a 40 percent chance of a near normal hurricane season, 35 percent chance of an above normal season and 25 percent of below normal activity, according to NOAA.

No matter what the season may hold - looking at the ocean and its phases may provide a glimpse into the future of hurricane forecasting. If that happens, the number of storms could be on the higher end of the predicted range, according to NOAA.

Unfortunately it appears the 2018 hurricane season will potentially be just as unsafe, as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released a report on Thursday indicating the season will see 10 to 16 named tropical storms with the number of hurricanes ranging between five and nine.

Kauai could be looking at between three and six tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific in the 2018 hurricane season, a number lower than the predictions over the last several years but still within the realm of a normal-to-above-average season.

The 2018 hurricane season will reach its peak in early August.

Hurricane season will end on November 30.

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Tropical storms have sustained winds of 39 miles per hour or above, and hurricanes have winds of at least 74 miles per hour.

Last year, forecasters also called for a near-normal or above-normal season with four to seven tropical cyclones impacting the basin.

"Since it lasts for decades at a time, it's hard to say when it's ending or switching phases", Bell said.

This avoids the use of, say, Katrina, Sandy or Maria to describe a future weak, open-ocean tropical storm.

There are still lingering impacts in Florida from massive and deadly Hurricane Irma, which made landfall September 10 in Monroe and Collier counties and traveled up the state, and Hurricane Maria, which hit Puerto Rico later in the month.

They warned that during an active season, the Gulf coast, Atlantic coast and Caribbean are at an increased threat for hurricanes, as more will form and theyll travel further west.

Irma reached Category 5 and was the strongest storm on record in the open Atlantic.

New graphics showing the "earliest reasonable" and "mostly likely" arrival times of tropical storm-force winds, to help residents prepare for storms.

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