Former Obama Adviser: Dems May Retake House, But 'Blue Wave' Won't Happen

Daniel Fowler
November 7, 2018

The first national elections since Trump captured the White House in a stunning 2016 upset will be a referendum on the polarizing Republican president and his hardline policies, and a test of whether Democrats can turn the energy of the liberal anti-Trump resistance into victories at the ballot box.

According to Michael McDonald of the US Elections Project, 38.4 million Americans cast their ballots early ahead of this election, compared with 27.4 million in the 2014 midterm. These would be considered solid Republican districts in most years, but Democrats targeted them in an effort to win the House.

More women than ever were running, along with military veterans and minorities, many of them motivated by Trump's rise.

Giddy predictions by Democrats of a so-called "blue wave" landslide in the House were still premature, even if a majority appeared guaranteed.

She said that the Democratic House will be led with "transparency and openness".

Kentucky, meanwhile, will give us an early indication of how the US House races are shaping up.

Early exit polls showed Trump was a major factor for almost two-thirds of voters who cast their ballots, while a CBS News poll found that 55 percent said they disapproved of the president's performance. The Republican incumbent had been branded Barbara "Trumpstock" by Democrats in a race that pointed to Trump's unpopularity among college-educated women in the suburbs. "When you vote, Illinois, you can choose hope over fear", Obama said.

Canada, the USA and Mexico still have to ratify the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement.

Those House races, along with several others in states where polls had closed, were being watched for insights into whether Trump can push forward with his agenda unimpeded or find himself restrained by a Democratic-controlled House.

Voters cast their ballots in the midterm elections on November 6, 2018, in Appleton, Wisconsin. Hundreds of millions were spent by the parties, supplemented by more money from outside groups, to frame the debate.

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In Miami, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell beat Republican Carlos Curbelo and former Health and Human Services Secretary Donna Shalala, a Democrat, defeated television anchor Maria Elvira Salazar, a Republican for an open House seat.

Republicans still had advantages in some areas, giving them hope of retaining a slim majority.

Tuesday's results will be colored by the dramatically different landscapes in the fight for the House and Senate. Perhaps more important, they would claim subpoena power to investigate Trump's personal and professional shortcomings. The contest to succeed retiring California Republican Darell Issa is likely going to Democrat Mike Levin, and in Washington state's 8th district, Democrat Kim Schrier's chance of replacing retiring Republican Dave Reichert has moved from "Toss Up" to "Lean Democratic". She was expected to lose to political newcomer Jennifer Wexton.

Out of those two, I would bet that McCaskill falls, making it a 55-seat majority heading into the next Congress, the largest amount of GOP senators since Bush was in office. Like other Democrats across the country, Spanberger emphasized protecting people with pre-existing conditions from being denied coverage or charged more by insurers. The GOP's grip on high-profile governorships in Florida, Georgia and Wisconsin were at risk as well. Both are Navy veterans.

In Georgia, GOP Rep. Karen Handel's race moved to "Toss Up" from "Lean Republican".

Many of the Democratic candidates have military backgrounds and emerged as formidable challengers, particularly in red-state districts where Republicans have dominated.

Overall, however, Republicans seem much more optimistic about keeping the Senate than the House.

If Democrats manage to win the House of Representatives, Trump would be left without congressional support to move his agenda forward. She was effectively demonized by Republicans during the campaign as a symbol of coastal elitism, and now there are a handful of new Democratic representatives who will arrive in Washington committed to voting against her.

Republican Mike Braun opened an early lead in the crucial Senate showdown in IN with incumbent Democrat Joe Donnelly, but the race was too close to call with just 20 percent of the votes in. Harris was facing a stiff challenge from Marine veteran and small-businessman Dan McCready.

Voter turnout, normally lower when the presidency is not at stake, could be the highest for a midterm election in 50 years, experts predicted. In one result that did not come as a surprise, former Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney won a Senate seat in Utah. Chris Van Hollen, Maryland Democrat and chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. But a crucial piece of math was in their favor Tuesday: The Democrats and their two independent allies were defending 26 seats, Republicans just nine. So...we know how that would go. "We just can't let that happen, because it's un-American".

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