Trump to monitor election results from behind closed-doors

Clay Curtis
November 8, 2018

Americans head to the polls on Tuesday (Nov 6) for mid-term elections with President Donald Trump's Republican party seeking to retain control of the House of Representatives and the Senate. But the GOP gained ground in the Senate and preserved key governorships, beating back a "blue wave" that never fully materialized. But blue-collar voters and rural America embraced his aggressive talk and stances.

Republicans have a 51-49 majority in the Senate, which means Democrats need a net gain of two seats to take the chamber.

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., boldly predicted that Democrats will win back the House. Maybe the GOP narrowly holds the House, but Democrats keep the Senate close.

With so much at stake, Trump campaigned in over a dozen states with Senate elections since Labor Day, visiting some multiple times. And, as it is, there are data both parties can take solace in that buoy their respective cases.

For weeks, pollsters have been projecting that the Republicans would lose control of the House but maintain control of the Senate, the result being a divided Congress that would untether some of Trump's most vociferous political challengers. It wasn't clear what "leaks" he was referring to.

"I don't think there's a Democrat in this country that doesn't have a little angst left over from 2016 deep down", said Stephanie Schriock, president of Emily's List, which spent more than ever before, almost 60 million United States dollars in all, to support Democratic women this campaign season.

There are too many fundamental differences between electoral systems and cycles in the US and Canada for this year's stateside turnout to offer any lessons for anyone hoping to generate similar levels of interest north of the border in 2019, Haussman said.

Polling suggests the Republican coalition is increasingly older, whiter, more male and less likely to have a college degree.

Stirring fear of foreigners and trumpeting American nationalism worked for the real estate billionaire in his 2016 election victory against the Democrats' establishment candidate Hillary Clinton.

Record diversity on the ballot may have helped drive turnout. She was among the record number of women running this year.

The mid-terms will decide which party will control the two houses of Congress.

Three candidates had hoped to become their states' first African-American governors, although just one - Georgia Democrat Stacey Abrams - was still in the running.

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The president has vowed to continue pushing for significant funding for a border wall, which Republicans may feel more comfortable with backing if voters hand them power again.

How it would happen: There are a half-dozen congressional races in California, for example, that are very close heading into Election Day. Not all were endangered, and those winning re-election included senators in Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia and Wisconsin. "And especially in the House where a simple majority gives you nearly absolute power to again set the agenda and get bills across the floor".

Trump, as he did throughout the campaign, also blamed the media for sowing division in the country and insisted they were to blame for the scene unfolding in the East Room.

Minnesota and MI may pave the way for the first Muslim women to be in Congress with candidates Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar.

After the surprising results in the 2016 presidential election, pundits are reluctant to make predictions.

But two years after an election that proved polls and prognosticators wrong, nothing is certain on the eve of the first nationwide elections of the Trump presidency. Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota seemed at greatest peril of losing.

Some hurt worse than others.

Trump encouraged voters to view the 2018 midterms as a referendum on his leadership, pointing proudly to the surging economy at his recent rallies.

Midterm turnout by young adult voters, aged 18 to 29, most recently peaked in 1982, when 31.7 percent of that age group cast a ballot, according to Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement at Tufts University. 25 percent described health care and immigration as the most important issues in the election, according to AP VoteCast, a national survey of the electorate.

The president bet big on a xenophobic closing message, warning of an immigrant "invasion" that promised to spread violent crime and drugs across the nation.

In a last-minute controversy, NBC, Fox News and Facebook on Monday pulled an ad by Trump's campaign that critics have labelled racist. He frequently invoked his upset win in 2016 and tried to recapture that energy in his final rallies, at times relegating the candidates he had traveled to endorse to supporting actors in the theater of a Trump rally. In the event that Trump is forced to dial down his trade rhetoric, it would likely be a positive for Chinese stocks.

The president found partial success despite his current job approval, set at 40 percent by Gallup, the lowest at this point of any first-term president in the modern era.

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