Indian election exit poll: Will there be election exit poll?

Clay Curtis
May 20, 2019

Jaitley claimed a "huge maturing of the India democracy" if the exit polls are read with the results of the 2014 elections.

Around 900 million Indians are eligible to vote in the seven-phase election, with vote counting to begin on Thursday.

Except in Punjab, where most pollsters said the Congress would win a substantial number of seats, Rahul Gandhi's campaign was predicted to fail in capitalising on the party's successes in the last Assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh, where the BJP was shown to be nearly repeating its 2014 sweep. The survey said the BJP's total count could drop to 22 whereas the Mahagathbandhan of the BSP-SP-RLD could win up to 56 seats in the crucial Hindi heartland state.

"If all the exit polls' average is something around 300 for the NDA then without knowing anything, just as a speculative exercise, I will add another 25-30 there and say it is more likely to be 325-330 if the midpoint of all the exit polls is 300". Mr Naidu has been meeting with leaders of different parties to rally support for a non-BJP government at the Centre. "The BJP dominated the campaign but analysts warn that exit polls have often been wrong in the past", the BBC stated.

Meanwhile, in the forex market, the rupee strengthened and was trading higher by 58 paise to 69.65 against the dollar. Senior Delhi Congress leader and party candidate from Chandni Chowk seat JP Agarwal said the predictions made by exit polls were "hard to accept". Seeking to set the record straight on speculations of him being in the prime ministerial race, Gadkari asserted that the new BJP-led government will be formed under Modi's leadership.

Predicting the results of an election with around 900 million voters is notoriously hard. The voters are asked who they voted for.

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It was a brilliant piece of work from England spinner Adil Rashid on the field to run out Babar Azam during the fifth and final ODI against Pakistan at Headingly on Sunday.

Modi ordered air strikes on a suspected militant camp in Pakistan, which led to a surge in tension between the nuclear-armed neighbors.

Hindu groups, which largely reined in their rhetoric during the campaign, are now expected to press the BJP for several demands, including a temple dedicated to the Hindu god Ram on a disputed site, life in jail for killing cows and ending the autonomy of India's only Muslim-majority state.

Amitava Ganguly, an employee of a private power utility, said there was polarization along communal lines in West Bengal. VVPAT slips are the main issue for us.

"People of Uttar Pradesh are angry with Modi and I think both Modi and BJP will pay politically for it", Santosh Singh, a restaurant owner in Varanasi, told AFP.

With most exit polls on Sunday predicting a comfortable victory for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), the Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) said that they were not accurate and did not reflect the true picture. Modi's party backed a bill that would make it easier to deport millions of Bangladeshis who have migrated to India since Bangladesh's independence in 1971.

Prodeep Chakrabarty, a retired teacher in Kolkata, said Modi's BJP was desperate to win some seats against Banerjee's influential regional party.

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