NHC says 40% chance of cyclone over southwestern Gulf of Mexico

Katie Ramirez
June 6, 2019

The National Hurricane Center has given the disturbance a 60% chance of development in the next two days and for the next five days.

The hurricane center said rain and storms associated with the system had lessened since Monday, and it what was left was still disorganized.

However, Kottlowski pointed out that the potential for strengthening may be limited since the feature will remain close to land and over the water for a short time.

The disturbance has a 40% chance of developing into a depression over the next 48 hours, forecasters said.

According to a forecast issued Sunday morning, "This system is expected to move slowly northwestward toward the coast of Mexico, and it could become a tropical cyclone before it moves inland in a day or two".

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Heavy rainfall is the primary weather threat.

Some of the tropical moisture may be pulled northward into the United States next week. Parts of Louisiana could receive some rainfall by Friday.

Rules can be broken as Subtropical Storm Andrea showed after it's pre-season May debut and 91L may be an early bird set to develop in an unconventional location.

Hurricane season 2019 runs from June 1 to November 30, this year presented the following names: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dorian, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Imelda, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, van and Wendy. The season kicked off June 1 and runs through November 30.

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