Potential Tropical Cyclone 2 developing in the gulf

Katie Ramirez
July 10, 2019

Forecasters are calling it Potential Tropical Cyclone Two. If it does, it would become the second named storm of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and it would receive the name "Barry". It was expected to grow into a powerful storm as it moved west through the Gulf's warm waters.

That's because the Mississippi River is already swollen from spring rains as the weather system builds in the Gulf and could add about a metre of storm surge to the river.

Even more concerning, the Mississippi River in New Orleans is now forecast to crest near 20 feet on Saturday, the weather service said - and the average levee height for New Orleans is 20 feet, said meteorologist David Bernard of Fox8 in New Orleans.

"AccuWeather meteorologists believe this system will become a tropical depression on or before Thursday and Tropical Storm Barry by Friday", according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.

Shell has evacuated all non-essential staff from eastern Gulf drilling rigs, with more action on the horizon depending on how the storm develops, spokeswoman Cindy Babski said.

Washington DC hit by torrential rain, flooding, United States News & Top Stories
Emergency services used an inflatable boat to rescue one motorist stranded in their auto near the National Mall. The flash floods were also reported to have caused delays at the Reagan National Airport .

Oil producers in the US part of the Gulf of Mexico have begun evacuating employees from their platforms ahead of a possible storm that is for now a tropical depression, Reuters reports, adding the storm could develop by this evening or tomorrow. Wind shear is low over this portion of the Gulf of Mexico.

It isn't clear yet exactly where the storm will hit, Brink said, but models show it making landfall somewhere between Lake Charles, Louisiana and Mobile sometime Saturday. The Weather Prediction Center of the NOAA has outlooks showing the possibility of rainfall amounts exceeding 100 mm for coastal areas of Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Texas by the end of the weekend, though largely dependent on the development and path of the system which isn't completely known yet. Heavy rain is likely along the Gulf Coast, which will lead to isolated flooding. A tornado or waterspout was also spotted near the University of New Orleans, WWL-TV said. PTC Two should form into a tropical depression soon.

The latest trends in steering winds suggest more of drift toward the central and western Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Showers and storms will develop around noon through 8pm. Over the next several days, the primary risk is to the Gulf States.

Wind: tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by late Thursday or early Friday.

The unnamed system is spinning in the same general area where Hurricane Michael gained strength last October.

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