Tropical or subtropical storm could form in Gulf later today, forecasters say

Katie Ramirez
October 17, 2019

Low pressure over the warm waters of the southern Gulf of Mexico is becoming better organized Thursday.

Models show this disturbance possibly sending tropical moisture toward the central Gulf Coast region, including MS, by this weekend, regardless of development. The next name on the list is Nestor.

The National Weather Service is predicting an area of storms off the eastern coast of Mexico will organize and could become a named tropical or subtropical storm by Thursday night.

Hurricane hunter crews will most likely check out the system later Thursday.

Forecasters say it's still too early to tell where the system may go but they recommend those living along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida, continue to monitor the system in the next few days.

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First, Tropical Storm Melissa was classified as a extratropical cyclone after cool air began circulating around the northern core Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center. Although the probability of the tropical system striking Taiwan directly is now low, it is expected to bring wet weather to the country over the weekend. As of now, most models keep this system as a weak tropical low, posing more of a heavy rainfall threat than anything else.

The latest forecast data into our weather center suggests much of the rain for central North Carolina should fall from Saturday evening through Sunday morning.

The main effects will be heavy, gusty rainstorms from about the New Orleans area east to North Florida and elevated tides along the coast in the same area.

Hurricane season runs through the end of November.

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