New Cases in Ontario News Centre

Grant Boone
April 21, 2020

Ontario is now trending toward a best case scenario rather than a worst case scenario and has significantly improved its standing as compared to March modelling.

On April 20 the province released updated virus modelling that shows enhanced public health measures are working in "flattening the curve".

A handful of provinces reported stable numbers of new positive cases, while Ontario - one of the provinces hardest-hit by the virus - said community spread has likely peaked.

Hospitalization from the virus has also slowed but the number of patients in ICU continues to remain constant in the past week.

"These actions are making a difference", said Barbara Yaffe, associate chief medical officer of health.

Public health officials say they are implementing measures to address the outbreaks including aggressive testing, screening and surveillance in long-term care-type settings.

As with many other countries, authorities in Canada ordered business closures during the pandemic, throwing millions out of work, and urged people to stay at home.

Brown said that the new models predict that about 20,000 people will be diagnosed with the novel coronavirus over the course of the outbreak.

The worst-case scenario released earlier this month predicted 300,000 cases by mid-April with no social distancing measures.

Coronavirus and nursing homes
Ministers have made clear this should not happen en masse and that each case must be decided on its merits. But Green added that "without testing, it was very hard to give an absolute figure" on care home deaths.

Hospitals have not been overwhelmed by the outbreak, as a result of the measures taken by the province and the efforts of all Ontarians, officials stated.

Ontario reported 606 new cases of COVID-19 today, the largest single-day increase, and 31 new deaths. The rate of growth day-over-day is declining.

But with the number of ICU cases lower than originally anticipated will allow the province to assist the situation in long-term care. She stressed that everyone needs to stay home as much as possible and maintain physical distancing to ensure the provincecontinues to stop the spread of COVID-19 and flatten the curve.

At last, some hugely encouraging news in Ontario.

"The implication is that our public health measures are working and we need to keep them working".

He said that the province could also use some of the capacity available in its acute care system to support the long-term care system.

On April 3, the province first revealed projection numbers that Ontario could see 80,000 cases and just under 1,600 deaths by the end of April, if the current measures in place are upheld.

He also emphasized that the province is tracking the spread of coronavirus in two groups - the general population and congregate group settings like long-term care homes and shelters, which are showing different projections. "We would prefer to avoid having a second wave by taking things slowly and carefully".

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