Tropical wave developing in Caribbean Sea

Katie Ramirez
October 2, 2020

Late this morning the National Hurricane Center upgraded Invest 91-L to Tropical Depression 25 after confirming a weak, closed center of circulation.

The hurricane center was also tracking another tropical wave farther east in the Caribbean.

"A separate area of significant rain is expected to develop well away from the center in the Mexican states of Campeche, Tabasco, and northern Chiapas, with rainfall of 8 to 12 inches and isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches", the Hurricane Center wrote.

On the official NHC forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone should be near the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula on Saturday.

On Sunday and Monday, the system is predicted to emerge over the southern and southwest Gulf of Mexico, where steering currents "are not well-defined" according to the Hurricane Center.

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King doesn't know if the forecasted area of low pressure is anything to worry about, but it's something he's keeping an eye on as some models show the storm pushing into the Gulf, developing and then running into Florida's Panhandle, he said.

Tropical Depression 25 formed this morning in an area that is historically active for tropical development this time of year.

Conditions for development are favorable for the system to become the next tropical depression or tropical storm. While it won't become a tropical depression or storm anytime soon, the weekend may see something.

It will bring heavy rain to parts of Mexico, Central America and western Cuba over the next few days, the hurricane center said, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be issued for some of those areas later today or tonight.

NOAA forecasters have called for up to 25 named storms this season with winds of 39 miles per hour or higher; of those, seven to 10 could become hurricanes. That will help boost thunderstorm updrafts and make it easier for tropical systems to form.

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