NOAA's Winter Outlook favors a warmer than average season across Mid

Katie Ramirez
October 18, 2020

"The temperature outlook favors warmer than normal conditions across the southern two-thirds of the continental US, along the entire East Coast, in Hawaii and in western and northern Alaska", Halpert said.

More modest probabilities for warmer temperatures are forecast from California to the Mid-Atlantic and into the Northeast.

How much precipitation New England could receive may be unknown, but drought conditions are predicted to improve.

"While we favor colder than average conditions to west of the lakes, mainly from Western Minnesota westward, MI and the Great Lakes areas are kind of in-between", Halpert says.

Winter weather outlook 2020-2021

"The drought outlook product actually covers the period only through January, while the winter outlook does cover another month through February", David Miskus, who leads the Climate Prediction Center's drought outlook team, said.

Elements of the northern United States - from Washington to MI - are anticipated to see a wetter-than-normal winter, whereas the remainder of the nation will expertise regular winter climate. This drier, warmer weather includes areas where wildfires are now burning, like Southern California and Colorado. It is known to cause above-average precipitation across the northern Midwest. Drought is also present in parts of the Northeast, Ohio Valley, Hawaii, and Alaska. The outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations as snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance.

The one month temperature prediction shows central Minnesota in the 30 to 40% range for above-average temperatures and in the average range for precipitation between now and November 15th. Empowering people with actionable forecasts and winter weather safety tips [] is key to NOAA's effort to build a more Weather-Ready Nation.

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